No. It’s my view your logic makes no sense. You think I am making a point that I am not making. The point is not about the likelihood that a specific cell will mutate. It’s that a mutation will occur in an organism.

Imagine two organisms. One has 100 cells. One has 37 trillion cells. All of the cells exist due to cellular division. Which organism is more likely to have a mutation? Which organism is likely to have more mutations? That is my point, and I was not making some other point. The likelihood an organism has a mutation, all other things being equal, depends on the number of cellular divisions that occurred. If the likelihood of a mutation is X, then after one division the cumulative
Iikelihood is X. After two decisions, the cumulative likelihood is X + X. X is greater than 0. X + X > X.